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Red29
49048.3
592417.8
26435.0
Blue49
476514.3
497310.1
84018.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333902060801002949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5924
#36
17.80.2
11.010.8
Auto9.4
Teleop7.6
End0.8
blue by 0.7
840
#13
18.51.6
12.414.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
4904
#39
8.30.2
11.711.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 6.0
4765
#16
14.31.6
11.913.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
2643
#42
5.00.2
7.87.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 5.2
4973
#35
10.11.6
10.412.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned