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Qual 122024 San Francisco Regional
Red45
884010.3
958411.3
742631.2
Blue56
285416.3
84125.4
167117.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615301001504556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#4
31.20.6
31.1→30.4
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End2.9
red by 5.8
841
#10
25.40.5
22.1→21.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Second
9584
#17
11.31.0
10.1→9.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 5.8
1671
#23
17.00.9
14.0→13.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Third
8840
#26
10.31.0
13.0→12.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 6.0
2854
#8
16.30.9
12.5→11.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed