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Qual 112024 San Francisco Regional
Red95
85210.9
11432.6
803329.0
Blue79
170011.7
72459.6
594038.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544710203040607080909579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#1
32.63.0
17.5→20.5
Auto13.9
Teleop17.3
End1.5
blue by 6.2
5940
#2
38.81.2
23.2→24.4
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End4.1
Second
8033
#3
29.03.0
19.5→22.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End0.9
red by 17.3
1700
#15
11.71.2
11.5→12.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
852
#30
10.93.0
10.6→13.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
red by 1.3
7245
#32
9.61.2
8.4→9.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned