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Qual 102024 San Francisco Regional
Red54
97121.5
71307.7
550716.6
Blue53
248916.1
84616.3
68146.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340102030406070805453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#7
21.51.4
18.3→19.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End0.3
red by 5.1
846
#41
16.32.3
12.7→15.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
5507
#19
16.61.4
15.6→17.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 0.5
2489
#21
16.12.3
11.2→13.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Third
7130
#29
7.71.4
7.4→8.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
red by 1.3
6814
#33
6.42.3
8.6→10.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed