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Red23
90386.9
466911.5
90066.8
Blue63
145817.2
255114.9
97121.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304901020406070802363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4669
#28
11.50.9
10.910.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End0.8
blue by 10.0
971
#7
21.51.8
19.721.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Second
9038
#43
6.90.9
11.510.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 10.2
1458
#20
17.21.8
9.211.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Third
9006
#27
6.80.9
6.85.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End0.2
blue by 8.1
2551
#14
14.91.8
13.114.9
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed