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Qual 162024 San Francisco Regional
Red64
570011.8
550716.6
801613.7
Blue53
41869.6
594038.8
85210.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385302060801006453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#19
16.60.6
17.0→17.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 22.3
5940
#2
38.80.8
24.4→25.2
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End4.1
Second
8016
#12
13.70.6
9.9→10.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 2.8
852
#30
10.90.8
13.6→14.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
5700
#24Sur
11.80.6
9.3→9.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
red by 2.1
4186
#40Sur
9.60.8
8.1→8.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed