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Qual 192024 San Francisco Regional
Red39
84616.3
91115.2
84125.4
Blue64
84018.5
64921.8
911414.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464920304060703964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#10
25.40.4
21.6→21.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
red by 3.6
649
#6
21.82.5
17.3→19.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.8
Second
846
#41
16.30.7
15.0→14.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 2.2
840
#13
18.52.5
14.0→16.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
9111
#38
5.20.7
8.3→7.7
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
blue by 9.0
9114
#9
14.21.5
10.3→11.8
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed