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Red30
255114.9
49048.3
91436.7
Blue37
285416.3
26435.0
68226.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4231010205060703037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#14
14.90.7
14.914.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 1.4
16.30.3
11.712.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Second
4904
#39
8.30.7
11.510.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 2.0
6822
#34
6.30.3
10.310.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Third
9143
#31
6.70.7
10.29.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 1.7
2643
#42
5.00.3
7.77.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed