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Qual 212024 San Francisco Regional
Red39
90386.9
885215.7
666214.8
Blue36
170011.7
884010.3
497310.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4240102030506070803936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8852
#5
15.70.1
14.2→14.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 4.0
1700
#15
11.71.6
12.7→11.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Second
6662
#22
14.80.1
13.3→13.2
Auto7.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 4.5
8840
#26
10.31.6
12.0→10.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
9038
#43
6.90.1
10.6→10.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 3.2
4973
#35
10.11.6
12.0→10.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed