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Red52
167117.0
570011.8
64921.8
Blue30
641818.7
884010.3
85210.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51412060805230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
21.80.8
19.820.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.8
red by 3.2
6418
#25
18.71.1
13.112.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Second
1671
#23
17.00.8
14.815.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.9
red by 6.1
852
#30
10.91.1
14.413.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
5700
#24
11.80.8
9.910.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
red by 1.4
8840
#26
10.31.1
10.49.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed