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Qual 282024 San Francisco Regional
Red38
87934.1
170011.7
911414.2
Blue20
71307.7
476514.3
49048.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374101001502002503003820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9114
#9
14.20.5
11.8→11.3
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 0.1
4765
#16
14.32.4
14.9→12.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
1700
#15
11.70.9
11.1→10.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.8
red by 3.4
4904
#39
8.32.4
10.8→8.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Third
8793
#37
4.10.9
11.1→10.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 3.7
7130
#29
7.72.4
10.9→8.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed