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Red50
255114.9
469818.6
41869.6
Blue46
592417.8
84616.3
696220.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434330405060705046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#11
18.61.2
16.617.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
blue by 1.4
6962
#18
20.00.3
14.113.8
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Second
2551
#14
14.91.2
12.313.5
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 2.8
5924
#36
17.80.3
9.69.3
Auto9.4
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
4186
#40
9.61.2
10.211.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 6.7
846
#41
16.30.3
15.314.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned