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Red18
68226.3
885215.7
958411.3
Blue16
91115.2
68146.4
550716.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801001816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.72.7
14.611.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 0.8
5507
#19
16.62.7
20.918.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Second
9584
#17
11.32.7
12.19.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 4.8
6814
#33
6.42.7
11.18.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
Third
6822
#34
6.32.7
8.76.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
red by 1.1
9111
#38
5.22.7
8.35.6
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed