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Red41
72459.6
84018.5
884010.3
Blue49
911414.2
145817.2
49048.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39360102030506070804149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#13
18.50.1
17.417.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 1.3
1458
#20
17.21.2
13.614.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Second
8840
#26
10.30.1
9.39.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 3.9
14.20.7
11.312.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
7245
#32
9.60.1
8.18.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 1.3
4904
#39
8.31.2
8.49.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed