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Red34
570011.8
666214.8
26435.0
Blue35
71307.7
801613.7
170011.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333602060803435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6662
#22
14.80.4
13.113.5
Auto7.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 1.0
8016
#12
13.70.8
13.712.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
5700
#24
11.80.4
10.811.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
red by 0.1
1700
#15
11.70.8
10.29.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
2643
#42
5.00.4
6.67.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 2.8
7130
#29
7.70.8
8.57.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned