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Red22
41869.6
26435.0
68146.4
Blue55
696220.0
90386.9
72459.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293701020506070802255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4186
#40
9.61.3
11.39.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 10.3
6962
#18
20.01.7
16.017.7
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Second
6814
#33
6.41.3
7.96.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
blue by 3.2
7245
#32
9.61.7
7.79.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Third
2643
#42
5.01.3
7.76.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 2.0
9038
#43
6.91.7
8.610.3
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed