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Red23
550716.6
84616.3
87934.1
Blue40
85210.9
570011.8
255114.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444425303540452340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#19
16.61.9
17.315.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
red by 1.7
2551
#14
14.90.5
14.914.4
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Second
846
#41
16.31.9
14.812.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 4.6
5700
#24
11.80.5
11.010.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Third
8793
#37
4.11.9
7.75.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 6.9
852
#30
10.90.5
13.713.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed