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Red35
145817.2
68226.3
497310.1
Blue45
958411.3
911414.2
90066.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383001020506070803545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
#20
17.20.9
16.315.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 2.9
14.21.1
11.712.8
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Second
4973
#35
10.10.9
9.18.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 1.1
9584
#17
11.31.8
9.611.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Third
6822
#34
6.30.9
8.17.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
blue by 0.5
9006
#27
6.81.8
7.18.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed