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Red34
167117.0
68146.4
90386.9
Blue41
41869.6
49048.3
550716.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38372530354045503441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#23
17.00.6
17.216.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.9
red by 0.4
5507
#19
16.60.3
15.515.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Second
9038
#43
6.90.5
10.39.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 2.7
4186
#40
9.60.3
9.910.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Third
6814
#33
6.40.5
6.66.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
blue by 1.9
4904
#39
8.30.3
8.18.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed