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Red48
666214.8
84125.4
87934.1
Blue16
68226.3
469818.6
90066.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5636020801004816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#10
25.41.0
26.225.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
red by 6.8
4698
#11
18.62.0
18.916.9
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
Second
6662
#22
14.81.6
16.314.7
Auto7.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 8.0
9006
#27
6.82.0
8.97.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Third
8793
#37
4.11.6
5.84.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 2.3
6822
#34
6.32.0
7.25.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed