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Red72
742631.2
911414.2
592417.8
Blue32
26435.0
145817.2
170011.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642802040801001207232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.2
29.630.8
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End2.9
red by 14.1
1458
#20
17.20.2
15.315.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Second
5924
#36
17.81.9
11.613.5
Auto9.4
Teleop7.6
End0.8
red by 6.1
1700
#15
11.70.2
8.48.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
14.21.2
12.814.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.9
End1.1
red by 9.3
2643
#42
5.00.2
6.36.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed