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Qual 582024 San Francisco Regional
Red45
885215.7
570011.8
11432.6
Blue38
958411.3
41869.6
801613.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6339020801004538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#1
32.60.8
30.4→29.6
Auto13.9
Teleop17.3
End1.5
red by 18.9
8016
#12
13.70.9
16.1→15.2
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
8852
#5
15.70.9
12.2→11.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 4.5
9584
#17
11.31.0
11.5→10.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Third
5700
#24
11.80.8
11.0→10.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
red by 2.1
4186
#40
9.60.9
10.2→9.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed