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Red32
84616.3
49048.3
884010.3
Blue42
803329.0
91436.7
68146.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060803242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#41
16.30.1
13.813.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 12.7
29.00.9
29.528.7
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End0.9
Second
8840
#26
10.30.1
10.810.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
red by 3.6
9143
#31
6.70.9
6.55.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
4904
#39
8.30.1
8.48.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 1.9
6814
#33
6.40.9
6.15.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed