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Red107
64921.8
958411.3
97121.5
Blue23
26435.0
71307.7
72459.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63220408010010723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
21.81.4
21.823.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.8
red by 12.2
7245
#32
9.60.1
10.410.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Second
971
#7
21.51.4
19.921.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End0.3
red by 13.8
7130
#29
7.70.1
7.67.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
9584
#17
11.31.4
10.511.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
red by 6.3
2643
#42
5.00.1
6.56.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed