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Red20
884010.3
90386.9
87934.1
Blue49
248916.1
801613.7
84018.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2262040801002049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8840
#26
10.30.4
10.710.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 8.2
840
#13
18.51.1
18.617.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
9038
#43
6.90.5
9.89.3
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 9.1
2489
#21
16.11.2
17.316.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End0.1
Third
8793
#37
4.10.5
4.23.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 9.7
8016
#12
13.71.1
15.214.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed