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Red50
497310.1
41869.6
84616.3
Blue61
170011.7
68226.3
11432.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060801005061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#41
16.31.6
13.715.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 16.3
114
#1
32.61.0
29.630.6
Auto13.9
Teleop17.3
End1.5
Second
4973
#35
10.11.6
8.510.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 1.5
1700
#15
11.71.0
10.711.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
4186
#40
9.61.6
9.310.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
red by 3.3
6822
#34
6.31.0
5.36.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed