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Qual 682024 San Francisco Regional
Red62
145817.2
885215.7
469818.6
Blue34
550716.6
85210.9
285416.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50503540455560656234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#11
18.61.5
16.3→17.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End3.6
red by 2.0
5507
#19
16.61.0
15.5→14.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Second
1458
#20
17.21.5
15.7→17.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 0.8
2854
#8
16.31.0
17.6→16.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
8852
#5
15.71.5
13.5→14.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 4.8
852
#30
10.91.0
11.9→10.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed