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Red37
801613.7
91115.2
64921.8
Blue31
466911.5
145817.2
696220.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38312040503731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
21.80.4
15.916.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.8
red by 1.8
6962
#18
20.00.3
9.09.3
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Second
8016
#12
13.70.4
9.59.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 3.4
1458
#20
17.20.3
9.09.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Third
9111
#38
5.20.4
7.98.3
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
blue by 6.2
4669
#28
11.50.3
10.710.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed