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Red29
207315.5
91148.0
741916.8
Blue15
330912.0
84123.5
50273.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101001502002915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#13
16.81.3
12.110.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.1
End-0.0
blue by 6.6
841
#3
23.52.3
15.313.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Second
2073
#23
15.51.3
13.011.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 3.5
3309
#17
12.02.3
13.611.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
9114
#22
8.01.3
5.64.3
Auto4.5
Teleop1.5
End2.1
red by 4.3
5027
#39
3.72.3
7.14.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed