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Red32
95048.7
85466.3
502613.3
Blue45
97216.9
247318.3
186812.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500204060803245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#34
13.30.0
13.713.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 5.0
18.30.4
16.015.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Second
9504
#32
8.70.0
9.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 8.2
972
#16
16.90.4
14.514.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Third
8546
#40
6.30.0
8.28.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 5.7
1868
#10
12.00.4
13.012.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed