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Red34
30087.4
67019.8
318910.2
Blue51
58133.5
196714.1
135116.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375820801003451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#15
19.80.3
17.317.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
blue by 13.7
581
#1
33.50.1
17.217.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
3189
#27
10.20.3
9.49.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 6.1
1351
#33
16.30.1
21.721.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Third
3008
#37
7.40.3
9.69.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 6.7
1967
#31
14.10.1
11.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed