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Red71
51048.8
60431.3
840413.8
Blue71
167847.4
69186.0
281310.7
56%Model gave it44%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514930406070807171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
31.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
blue by 16.2
47.4
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
Second
8404
#14
13.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
red by 3.1
2813
#11
10.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Third
5104
#35
8.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
red by 2.8
6918
#42
6.0
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed