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Red44
1926.8
325623.3
63487.6
Blue45
98726.5
623813.2
912515.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35540204060804445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.2
11.712.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 3.2
987
#4
26.50.1
19.819.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
6348
#38
7.61.2
11.512.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 7.5
9125
#20
15.20.1
14.314.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
192
#36
6.81.2
10.411.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 6.4
6238
#12
13.20.1
12.212.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed