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Red40
84123.5
741311.9
502613.3
Blue53
67019.8
228818.0
385911.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142253035455055604053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#3
23.50.1
13.013.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.6
red by 3.7
670
#15
19.81.2
17.018.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
5026
#34
13.30.1
13.713.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 4.7
18.01.2
9.710.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.4
End0.5
Third
7413
#24
11.90.1
10.610.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 0.7
3859
#28
11.21.2
11.512.7
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed