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Red37
186812.0
23677.4
804816.8
Blue92
60431.3
623813.2
58133.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396120801003792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#30
16.80.9
16.315.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 16.7
581
#1
33.54.4
17.321.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
1868
#10
12.00.9
12.611.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 19.2
604
#5
31.34.4
23.027.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Third
2367
#26
7.40.9
9.08.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.0
blue by 5.8
6238
#12
13.24.4
12.016.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed