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Red86
98726.5
97216.9
207315.5
Blue41
68844.1
840413.8
25311.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542801020406070808641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
26.53.4
19.723.1
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 12.7
8404
#14
13.81.4
12.013.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Second
972
#16
16.93.4
14.117.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.6
red by 5.1
253
#21
11.91.4
7.79.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Third
2073
#23
15.53.4
11.715.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 11.4
6884
#41
4.11.4
8.710.1
Auto1.6
Teleop0.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed