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Red48
912515.2
247318.3
330912.0
Blue42
69186.0
1926.8
135116.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44462030405060704842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.0
15.615.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 2.0
1351
#33
16.30.4
21.721.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Second
9125
#20
15.20.0
14.114.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 8.4
192
#36
6.80.4
11.611.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Third
3309
#17
12.00.0
11.311.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 6.0
6918
#42
6.00.4
7.16.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed