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Red29
63487.6
51048.8
318910.2
Blue28
50273.7
20359.8
947016.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3725010203050602928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#27
10.20.6
9.28.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 6.1
9470
#25
16.40.6
8.88.1
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Second
5104
#35
8.80.6
10.49.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 1.0
2035
#18
9.80.6
10.39.6
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Third
6348
#38
7.60.6
12.612.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 3.9
5027
#39
3.70.6
4.74.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed