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Red75
741916.8
58133.5
385911.2
Blue53
840413.8
804816.8
207315.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048304060707553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#1
33.52.2
21.723.9
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 16.7
8048
#30
16.81.0
15.416.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Second
7419
#13
16.82.2
10.813.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.1
End-0.0
red by 1.3
2073
#23
15.51.0
15.116.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Third
3859
#28
11.22.2
12.714.9
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 2.6
8404
#14
13.81.0
13.414.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed