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Red43
330912.0
186812.0
196714.1
Blue34
66812.3
68844.1
67019.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37452030405060704334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#31
14.10.4
11.511.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
blue by 5.7
670
#15
19.80.9
18.217.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
3309
#17
12.00.4
11.311.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 0.3
668
#19
12.30.9
11.710.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
1868
#10
12.00.4
11.712.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
red by 7.9
6884
#41
4.10.9
10.19.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed