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Red54
247318.3
66812.3
135116.3
Blue32
63487.6
207315.5
499011.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220305060705432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.8
11.413.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 2.8
2073
#23
15.51.3
15.714.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
1351
#33
16.31.8
15.016.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 4.7
4990
#29
11.61.3
10.39.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Third
668
#19
12.31.8
11.313.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 4.7
6348
#38
7.61.3
12.811.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed