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Red46
97216.9
196714.1
228818.0
Blue53
1926.8
58133.5
330912.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464002060804653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.8
11.510.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.4
End0.5
blue by 15.5
581
#1
33.51.8
14.816.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
972
#16
16.90.8
17.516.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.6
red by 4.9
3309
#17
12.01.8
10.812.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
1967
#31
14.10.8
12.211.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 7.3
192
#36
6.81.8
11.513.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned