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Red36
804816.8
67019.8
50273.7
Blue39
30087.4
281310.7
60431.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40481020306070803639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#15
19.80.1
14.614.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
blue by 11.5
604
#5
31.30.4
18.518.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Second
8048
#30
16.80.1
13.713.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 6.1
2813
#11
10.70.4
12.912.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Third
5027
#39
3.70.1
8.98.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 3.6
3008
#37
7.40.4
11.410.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed