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Red49
385911.2
10019.5
325623.3
Blue38
186812.0
98726.5
318910.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3954102030506070804938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.1
12.013.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 3.2
987
#4
26.51.0
19.718.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
100
#8
19.51.1
12.513.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 7.5
1868
#10
12.01.0
16.815.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Third
3859
#28
11.21.1
12.313.4
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
red by 1.0
3189
#27
10.21.0
10.39.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed