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Red51
947016.4
318910.2
228818.0
Blue20
69186.0
23677.4
91148.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32190104050605120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.02.0
10.913.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.4
End0.5
red by 10.0
9114
#22
8.00.1
4.04.1
Auto4.5
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Second
9470
#25
16.42.0
8.110.2
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
red by 9.0
2367
#26
7.40.1
8.18.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Third
3189
#27
10.22.0
8.610.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
red by 4.2
6918
#42
6.00.1
6.76.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed