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Red18
63487.6
30087.4
25311.9
Blue58
10019.5
741311.9
51048.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38360102030506070801858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#21
11.91.8
9.17.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End3.9
blue by 7.7
100
#8
19.52.8
12.315.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
6348
#38
7.61.8
12.110.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 4.3
7413
#24
11.92.8
10.713.5
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Third
3008
#37
7.41.8
12.710.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 1.4
5104
#35
8.82.8
9.812.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed