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Red71
50273.7
60431.3
325623.3
Blue45
499011.6
502613.3
135116.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53500204060801001207145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
31.32.2
27.429.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
red by 14.9
1351
#33
16.30.1
21.421.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Second
23.32.2
16.118.3
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
red by 10.1
5026
#34
13.30.1
13.813.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
5027
#39
3.72.2
4.16.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 7.8
4990
#29
11.60.1
10.610.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed