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Red51
623813.2
281310.7
247318.3
Blue88
167847.4
84123.5
912515.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4668204060801005188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.4
15.615.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 29.1
47.43.3
31.534.8
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
Second
6238
#12
13.20.4
16.516.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End0.9
blue by 10.3
841
#3
23.53.3
13.116.3
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Third
2813
#11
10.70.4
12.111.8
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
blue by 4.5
9125
#20
15.23.3
14.117.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsEarned