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Red43
385911.2
69186.0
840413.8
Blue34
51048.8
67019.8
1926.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3946102030506070804334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#14
13.80.2
14.414.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 6.0
670
#15
19.80.7
17.316.6
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
3859
#28
11.20.2
14.915.1
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
red by 2.4
5104
#35
8.80.7
12.611.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Third
6918
#42
6.00.2
6.87.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End1.1
blue by 0.8
192
#36
6.80.7
10.69.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed