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Red52
502613.3
947016.4
98726.5
Blue16
499011.6
330912.0
30087.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563410204050607080905216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
26.50.4
24.124.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 14.5
3309
#17
12.01.9
11.79.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Second
9470
#25
16.40.4
10.210.6
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
4990
#29
11.61.9
10.58.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Third
5026
#34
13.30.4
13.714.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End0.5
red by 5.9
3008
#37
7.41.9
10.99.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed